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Thursday, 26 July 2007 |
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The following article is a perspective on Australia's future oil production, written by Dave Cohen from ASPO USA: A man either lives life as it happens to him, meets it head-on and licks it, or he turns his back on it and starts to wither away.
— Gene Roddenberry Australia serves as a microcosm of a world entering the peak oil era.1 It can be shown beyond a reasonable doubt that Aussie oil production has peaked. As their oil companies struggle to offset production losses as demand grows, Australians must face up to the stark choices these circumstances present. One road, taken by the United States long ago, creates dangerous, ever-growing dependencies on imported oil to fill the supply and demand gap. The other road, leading to energy independence and security, spawns alternatives that allow Australia to move beyond oil. Will the Land Down Under seize the opportunity they now have to make the right choice? 
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Wednesday, 18 April 2007 |
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ASPO-Australia has a broad range of working groups, aimed at looking at our oil vulnerability and the opportunities in different community sectors
These arose in part from our decion to provide sector-by sector input to the Senate Inquiry into Australia's future oil supply and alternative transport fuels. The various submissions are listed here, in part to show the range of our interests:
Main submission (1.9MB)
Other working groups have been formed since, and we welcome suggestions and offers to expand the range of consideration
Children and Peak Oil
Young Professionals
Economics (pending)
Tourism (pending)
Public transport sector
Conservation and environment sector
Oil vulnerability assessment and risk management
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Wednesday, 18 April 2007 |
ASPO 6 Conference: Time to React? The organising committee join me in inviting you to join us in Cork, Ireland, this September for the 6th Annual International ASPO Conference entitled 'Time to React?' http://www.aspo-global.org/aspo6/ This years Annual International ASPO conference, the 6th, is shaping up to be a truly significant event and for a number of reasons. Not least of which is that this will be the first time Ireland will host the event, home to ASPO's founder, Dr. Colin Campbell. And September is a wonderful time of year to visit the Emerald Isle. |
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Thursday, 05 April 2007 |
An integrated policy response Ian Dunlop has outlined the need for an integrated policy response for Australia to the twin challenges of Peak Oil and Climate Change. Full report as submitted to the Prime Ministerial Task Group on Emissions Trading.
Climate change and peak oil are inextricably linked. Each one is a major issue in its own right, but their convergence has received minimal attention, which is unfortunate as it is likely to have far greater impact than the sum of the individual parts. Policy must ensure that solutions to the one reinforce, and do not conflict with, solutions to the other.
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Thursday, 22 March 2007 |
Oilfield MegaProjects UpdateChris Skrebowski visited Australia last year when he shared the results of his "Megaprojects" analysis of future oil production. Chris keeps a close tally of all the known major oil projects, most of which are announced 5 years in advance of production starting.
Chris Skrebowski's latest Megaproject update was published in February Petroleum Review and is now available online: http://www.odac-info.org/bulletin/documents/MegaProjects_Feb2007.pdf (less than 100kb in size)
Chris notes a significant volume of new production being brought on stream between now and 2012 but not much beyond that. He also points out the growing development costs and lack of skilled personnel which may well cause project timelines to slip. Despite the apparent growth predicted for the near term, Chris concludes there is no cause for celebration. He writes:
It is only possible to draw two conclusions from this latest megaprojects analysis. First, data on production, project performance and depletion rates is wholly unsatisfactory, particularly for the Opec producers. Second, the large volumes of new capacity being added between 2007 and 2012 may not translate into the sort of increased produc- tion flows the world economy needs to underpin economic growth.
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