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Chris Skrebowski Australian visit Aug 2006 PDF Print E-mail
Wednesday, 12 July 2006
Chris Skrebowski   Australian lecture tour, August 2006

Luncheon Seminars with CEDA.     Very highly recommended.   Opportunity to hear first hand about Peak Oil
Perth 23rd August,    Adelaide 25th August,    Melbourne 28th August,    Sydney 29th August.   
See www.CEDA.com.au and the above individual flyers for each city.  The Sydney flyer has the most information.

While in Australia Chris will also be speaking at Richmond Town Hall in Melbourne on Aug 28.

Chris was one of those on the important July 10th 4-Corners Peak Oil programme.  He  suggested  Peak Oil at  around 2010 in that interview. He is Editor of the London-based Petroleum Review, a foundation member of ASPO-International and a board member of the Oil Depletion Analysis Centre, ODAC.  See biography

He publishes an annual "Megaprojects review" listing the big oil projects planned to be coming on-stream, together with an estimate of decline rates in existing producing regions.  His methodology is explained separately in "MegaProjects Explained"

 
Peak Oil on Four Corners, ABC TV PDF Print E-mail
Monday, 10 July 2006
The Four Corners show on peak oil was on July 10th.  Forum panellists were Bruce Robinson of ASPO Australia and Andrew McNamara, Labor MP for Hervey Bay QLD. The forum is here.  The transcript is available, and the quote of the story is ABARE's Dr Brian Fisher's statement  to the Senate committee hearing.  "If the price of eggs is high enough, roosters will start to lay".    Economists seem to overlook the physical constraints of natural forces, believing that market forces are omnipotent.   See our submission 135B above to the Senate on ABARE's forecasting track record.

Those who missed the 4-Corners programme can watch it online at the ABC website.
 
Oil and Mortgage Vulnerability in Australian Cities PDF Print E-mail
Thursday, 06 July 2006

Jago Dodson and Neil Sipe of Griffith University's Urban Research Program have released a new paper (August 2008)
Unsettling Suburbia: The New Landscape of Oil and Mortgage Vulnerability in Australian Cities
http://www.griffith.edu.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0003/88851/urp_rp17_dodsonsipe-2008.pdf
This compares trends between the 2001 and 2006 census data, and has refined the maps to better handle uninhabited areas like parks and airports.

 2006: Shocking the Suburbs: Urban location, housing debt and oil vulnerability in the Australian City building on their earlier 2005 study Oil Vulnerability in Australian Cities.
CAUTION:  Griffith have changed the links.  The current URLS are http://www.griffith.edu.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0004/48577/urp-rp08-dodson-sipe-2006.pdf
http://www.griffith.edu.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0011/48575/urp-rp06-dodson-sipe-2005.pdf
There are other useful papers being published by the Griffith Urban Research Program, see
http://www.griffith.edu.au/environment-planning/urban-research-program

 2006 Study:  Like the earlier study this uses census data to build up detailed spatial maps of vulnerability to high oil prices in major Australian cities. The original VIPER model used a vulnerability index based on socio-economic index and car dependence. The new study uses a more sophisticated index which takes into account car dependence, income and likelyhood of having a mortgage. Those with mortgages have less disposable income and are therefore more vulnerable to rising oil prices.

Perth and the Gold Coast are included in the new analysis together with new assessments for Sydney, Brisbane and Melbourne. The highlight of the paperare the detailed maps of oil vulnerability for each of the cities studied. Check them out and see how your suburb is rated!

 
Dr Roger Bezdek in Australia PDF Print E-mail
Friday, 30 June 2006

Dr Roger Bezdek (June-July 2007)

Dr Roger Bezdek's very successful (and exhausting) Australian tour has been completed and he has returned to Washington.  He provided the keynote speech at a major logistics and supply chain conference in Sydney

Keynote speech slides ASPO's video of the Keynote speech   Audio version

He also provided briefings to business, Ministers and Government organisations in Canberra, Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane. 

Media release -  Looming World Oil Shortages Have Dire Implications for Australia
Online stories The Age, Sydney Morning Herald and NineMSN.
ABC Lateline Business TV interview with Ali Moore on the threat of Peak Oil (19th June) Transcript
Audio interview Roger Bezdek on peak oil, global warming and Australia, Global Public Media
ABC Radio National nationwide interview with Peter Mares  "The National Interest" 24th June
Channel 10 "9AM" live TV interview summary 25th June
ABC Radio nationwide current affairs interview on "PM"
"The West Australian"  article 30th June
The Urban Transportation Monitor  3rd August 2007  "Australia reconsiders "the Dangerous Road Taken by the US" of ever-growing dependency on imported oil"

Links to his most recent publications, which are very valuable, are listed below
Read more...
 
Energy exploration 'hit by rising costs' PDF Print E-mail
Friday, 23 June 2006
The following news item is an example of the capacity problem now dogging the industry and to which Matt Simmons has been drawing attention for some time.

Energy exploration 'hit by rising costs'

Monday Jun 19 16:20 AEST

Energy explorers have seen exploration costs rise by more than a third over the last year posing a serious threat to the future of the industry, a peak industry body says.

At an industry conference in Darwin, chief executive of the Australian Petroleum Production and Exploration Association (APPEA) Belinda Robinson said exploration was also being threatened by limited equipment availability.

"In general we have seen costs increase by around 35 per cent over the past year," Ms Robinson said.

"This combined with the limited physical availability of rigs poses a serious issue for the industry."


Read more...
 
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